#2Brendan Sorsby

QB·Cincinnati·2025 20244.8 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Brendan Sorsby is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Cincinnati. Brendan's 2024 season ranks in the 5th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 482 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brendan Sorsby's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

249/389 Comp/Att2813 Pass yards18 Pass TD7 INT64.0% Comp %

Rushing

445 Rush yards9 Rush TD106 Carries4.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency5
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency77
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)5th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.28 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.92 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Houston (SP+ -8).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsTowson	W38-20	—	22/31	383	2	0	93.3	5	2	0.77
2	vsPittsburgh	L27-28	4.9	22/38	298	3	0	73.7	-5	0	0.37
3	@Miami (OH)	W27-16	1.3	21/34	186	1	0	58.9	10	0	0.09
4	vsHouston	W34-0	-8.2	12/15	188	2	0	95.5	4	1	0.92
5	@Texas Tech	L41-44	4.3	31/45	426	4	1	83.7	52	0	0.50
7	@UCF	W19-13	2.8	25/38	241	1	2	68.5	4	1	0.21
8	vsArizona State	W24-14	9.4	23/31	206	0	1	80.8	26	2	0.34
9	@Colorado	L23-34	8.1	16/30	180	2	0	64.5	48	0	0.25
11	vsWest Virginia	L24-31	2.1	25/36	279	1	1	38.9	48	1	0.20
12	@Iowa State	L17-34	10.3	10/18	66	0	0	63.2	141	1	0.16
13	@Kansas State	L15-41	14.1	21/39	200	2	1	22.6	19	0	0.02
14	vsTCU	L13-20	10.8	21/34	160	0	1	79.0	93	1	0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

60.3%

Passing plays

97.8%

Rushing plays

22.8%

Standard downs

53.3%

Passing downs

76.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.18
Passing downs: 0.54
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.27 / 0.51

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 — 2025 · 24 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2024	Cincinnati	4.8	0.380	—	183.2
2025	Cincinnati	7.9	0.438	+0.06	188.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.