#2Brendan Sorsby

QB·Cincinnati·2025 20247.9 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Brendan Sorsby is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Cincinnati. Brendan's 2025 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 430 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brendan Sorsby's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

206/335 Comp/Att2786 Pass yards26 Pass TD5 INT61.5% Comp %

Rushing

580 Rush yards9 Rush TD100 Carries5.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency75
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency77
Clutch80

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)75th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (75th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.30 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.65 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Northwestern State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsNebraska	L17-20	6.2	13/25	69	0	1	60.7	96	2	0.16
2	vsBowling Green	W34-20	-12.6	17/24	333	3	0	94.4	40	1	0.86
3	vsNorthwestern State	W70-0	—	15/15	253	5	0	99.8	39	1	1.65
5	@Kansas	W37-34	4.1	29/43	388	2	0	85.6	52	0	0.53
6	vsIowa State	W38-30	9.9	13/25	214	2	0	86.0	64	1	0.41
7	vsUCF	W20-11	-1.2	12/21	191	2	0	55.7	36	0	0.37
8	@Oklahoma State	W49-17	-15.1	20/29	270	3	0	89.1	13	1	0.64
9	vsBaylor	W41-20	1.4	13/21	111	2	0	81.8	85	1	0.38
10	@Utah	L14-45	22.2	11/33	221	1	1	23.2	28	1	0.05
12	vsArizona	L24-30	12.0	15/28	154	1	2	70.5	30	1	0.38
13	vsBYU	L14-26	15.9	25/38	300	2	1	91.9	38	0	0.32
14	@TCU	L23-45	8.3	23/33	282	3	0	81.6	59	0	0.40

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

60.4%

Passing plays

97.7%

Rushing plays

26.2%

Standard downs

54.7%

Passing downs

74.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.39
Passing downs: 0.59
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.46 / 0.52

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 — 2025 · 24 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2024	Cincinnati	4.8	0.380	—	183.2
2025	Cincinnati	7.9	0.438	+0.06	188.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.