#13Brayden Schager

QB·Hawai'i·2024

Brayden Schager is a Dual-Threat QB for Hawai'i. Brayden's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 520 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brayden Schager's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

233/404 Comp/Att2591 Pass yards19 Pass TD13 INT57.7% Comp %

Rushing

267 Rush yards6 Rush TD135 Carries2.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat88
Consistency76
Clutch70

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency76th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.48 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Northern Iowa.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
0	vsDelaware State	W35-14	—	17/34	203	2	0	26.7	38	2	—
1	vsUCLA	L13-16	-1.3	25/42	227	1	2	34.5	-13	0	0.19
3	@Sam Houston	L13-31	-6.9	21/42	252	1	1	28.3	22	0	0.08
4	vsNorthern Iowa	W36-7	—	35/43	374	4	2	76.4	28	0	0.48
6	@San Diego State	L24-27	-15.4	26/44	272	3	1	62.1	21	0	0.37
7	vsBoise State	L7-28	10.1	21/37	264	1	0	52.5	13	0	0.12
8	@Washington State	L10-42	1.3	20/30	196	1	1	51.9	-10	0	-0.01
9	vsNevada	W34-13	-15.2	14/25	153	0	1	70.3	120	4	0.38
10	@Fresno State	W21-20	-3.8	29/53	244	3	1	51.4	15	0	-0.07
11	vsUNLV	L27-29	9.3	14/35	282	3	1	31.6	42	0	0.32
12	@Utah State	L10-55	-10.4	11/19	124	0	3	3.1	-9	0	0.26

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

72.3%

Passing plays

94.5%

Rushing plays

36.7%

Standard downs

69.5%

Passing downs

77.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.13
Passing downs: 0.28
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.15 / 0.34

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).