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Blaze Berlowitz

#1Blaze Berlowitz

Blaze Berlowitz is a Clutch Passer for Vanderbilt. Blaze's 2026 season produced 6.0 total EPA across 38 plays.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

24%
projected
band 6%'25 7%42%

Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Blaze Berlowitz's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Passing
14/25 Comp/Att178 Pass yards0 Pass TD0 INT56.0% Comp %
Rushing
51 Rush yards1 Rush TD13 Carries3.9 Yards/carry

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

16
Attempts
8.2y
Avg depth
8.5y
After catch
69%
Catch rate

The ball travels 8.2 yards in the air on an average throw about the median for the position. Another 8.5 comes after the catch.

Where he throws

attempts · completion rate · yards
deep
0
0
2
50% · 31y
short
3
100% · 55y
4
75% · 33y
7
57% · 30y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume81
  • Dual-Threat30
  • Consistency50
  • Clutch76
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.39 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Austin Peay.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.4000.40Wk 1 vs Austin Peay: +0.39 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Delaware: -0.40 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsAustin PeayW28-911/16149004510.39
2vsDelawareW35-26-7.63/9290060-0.40

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
28.4%
Passing plays
43.1%
Rushing plays
17.8%
Standard downs
27.8%
Passing downs
29.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.10
Passing downs
0.28
Pass / Rush EPA
0.21 / 0.05

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.