Kent State vs. Ohio: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
KENTTeam statsOHIO
- Q4 1:46KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.44–13
- Q4 1:46KENTKENT ST rush for a touchdown.43–13
- Q4 7:32KENTKENT ST 28 yard field goal GOOD.37–13
- Q4 14:18KENTKENT ST 26 yard field goal GOOD.34–13
- Q3 8:10KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.31–13
- Q3 8:10KENTKENT ST rush for a touchdown.30–13
- Q3 12:02KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.24–13
- Q3 12:02KENTKENT ST rush for a touchdown.23–13
- Q2 0:31KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.17–13
- Q2 0:31KENTKENT ST pass complete for a touchdown.16–13
- Q2 10:04OHIOOHIO Extra point GOOD.10–13
- Q2 10:04OHIOOHIO pass complete for a touchdown.10–12
- Q2 13:34KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.10–6
- Q2 13:34KENTKENT ST rush for a touchdown.9–6
- Q1 0:59OHIOOHIO 49 yard field goal GOOD.3–6
- Q1 10:06KENTKENT ST 47 yard field goal GOOD.3–3
- Q1 12:06OHIOOHIO 20 yard field goal GOOD.0–3
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- KENT lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 19% explosive on a 39% success rate
- PassColin Reardon 18/29, 213 YDS, 1 TD
- RushDri Archer 15 CAR, 138 YDS, 3 TD
- RecTyshon Goode 5 REC, 55 YDS
- PassTyler Tettleton 11/24, 132 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushBeau Blankenship 23 CAR, 76 YDS
- RecMatt Waters 1 REC, 41 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsKENT up 18 entering the 4th quarter. Across 838 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 0:31KENT +25%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 11 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 12:02KENT +18%
Dri Archer rush for 5 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 10:04OHIO +18%
Tyler Tettleton pass complete to Mario Dovell for 1 yard for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 13:34KENT +17%
Dri Archer rush for 24 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q1 0:59OHIO +10%
Josiah Yazdani 49 yard field goal GOOD
- Q3 8:10KENT +10%
Nate Terhune rush for 61 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
FAQ
What was the final score of Kent State vs. Ohio?
Kent State 44, Ohio 13.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked OHIO, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| KENT | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 537 | Total yards | 204 |
| 225 | Passing yards | 135 |
| 312 | Rushing yards | 69 |
| 29 | First downs | 16 |
| 7-15 | 3rd down | 2-12 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 20/32 | Comp/Att | 12/29 |
| 7.0 | Yards per pass | 4.7 |
| 7.4 | Yards per rush | 2.0 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 6-85 | Penalties | 8-99 |
| 36:12 | Possession | 23:48 |
Costliest call
Q1 12:06 OHIO field goal on 4th & 3 at KENT 3. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.83 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:46KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.44–13
- Q4 1:46KENTKENT ST rush for a touchdown.43–13
- Q4 7:32KENTKENT ST 28 yard field goal GOOD.37–13
- Q4 14:18KENTKENT ST 26 yard field goal GOOD.34–13
- Q3 8:10KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.31–13
- Q3 8:10KENTKENT ST rush for a touchdown.30–13
- Q3 12:02KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.24–13
- Q3 12:02KENTKENT ST rush for a touchdown.23–13
- Q2 0:31KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.17–13
- Q2 0:31KENTKENT ST pass complete for a touchdown.16–13
- Q2 10:04OHIOOHIO Extra point GOOD.10–13
- Q2 10:04OHIOOHIO pass complete for a touchdown.10–12
- Q2 13:34KENTKENT ST Extra point GOOD.10–6
- Q2 13:34KENTKENT ST rush for a touchdown.9–6
- Q1 0:59OHIOOHIO 49 yard field goal GOOD.3–6
- Q1 10:06KENTKENT ST 47 yard field goal GOOD.3–3
- Q1 12:06OHIOOHIO 20 yard field goal GOOD.0–3
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (OHIO Elo 1284, KENT Elo 1298 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects OHIO -1.8 (56% to win) — 4.2 points clear of KENT's market line of -6. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#10 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #70 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Ohio leads 38–22–2 · Ohio has won 2 straight · 40% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →