UCLA vs. Nebraska: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
UCLATeam statsNEB
- Q4 1:53UCLAUCLA 24 yard field goal GOOD.41–21
- Q3 0:26UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.38–21
- Q3 0:26UCLAUCLA pass complete for a touchdown.37–21
- Q3 3:39UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.31–21
- Q3 3:39UCLAUCLA pass complete for a touchdown.30–21
- Q3 6:02UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.24–21
- Q3 6:02UCLAUCLA pass complete for a touchdown.23–21
- Q3 8:31UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.17–21
- Q3 8:31UCLAUCLA rush for a touchdown.16–21
- Q2 0:57UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.10–21
- Q2 0:57UCLAUCLA rush for a touchdown.9–21
- Q2 7:12NEBNEBRASKA Extra point GOOD.3–21
- Q2 7:12NEBNEBRASKA pass complete for a touchdown.3–20
- Q1 0:31NEBNEBRASKA Extra point GOOD.3–14
- Q1 0:31NEBNEBRASKA pass complete for a touchdown.3–13
- Q1 7:13UCLAUCLA 44 yard field goal GOOD.3–7
- Q1 9:45NEBNEBRASKA Extra point GOOD.0–7
- Q1 9:45NEBNEBRASKA pass complete for a touchdown.0–6
How the model called it
- PassBrett Hundley 16/24, 294 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
- RushJJ James 22 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
- RecShaq Evans 3 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
- PassTaylor Martinez 21/35, 203 YDS, 3 TD
- RushAmeer Abdullah 23 CAR, 98 YDS
- RecKenny Bell 6 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsUCLA up 17 entering the 4th quarter. Across 841 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q3 6:02UCLA +25%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Shaquelle Evans for 28 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 3:39UCLA +21%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Phillip Ruhl for 12 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 8:31UCLA +18%
Jordon James rush over right guard for 3 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q1 9:45NEB +15%
Taylor Martinez pass complete to Quincy Enunwa for 11 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q1 0:31NEB +15%
Taylor Martinez pass complete to Quincy Enunwa for 14 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 7:12NEB +12%
Taylor Martinez pass complete to Kenny Bell for 22 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
FAQ
What was the final score of UCLA vs. Nebraska?
UCLA 41, Nebraska 21.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked NEB, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| UCLA | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 504 | Total yards | 331 |
| 294 | Passing yards | 203 |
| 210 | Rushing yards | 128 |
| 27 | First downs | 21 |
| 7-15 | 3rd down | 3-14 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 2-3 |
| 16/25 | Comp/Att | 21/35 |
| 11.8 | Yards per pass | 5.8 |
| 4.0 | Yards per rush | 3.0 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 3-21 | Penalties | 8-70 |
| 29:40 | Possession | 30:02 |
Costliest call
Q3 12:02 NEB punt on 4th & 5 at UCLA 41. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.71 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:53UCLAUCLA 24 yard field goal GOOD.41–21
- Q3 0:26UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.38–21
- Q3 0:26UCLAUCLA pass complete for a touchdown.37–21
- Q3 3:39UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.31–21
- Q3 3:39UCLAUCLA pass complete for a touchdown.30–21
- Q3 6:02UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.24–21
- Q3 6:02UCLAUCLA pass complete for a touchdown.23–21
- Q3 8:31UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.17–21
- Q3 8:31UCLAUCLA rush for a touchdown.16–21
- Q2 0:57UCLAUCLA Extra point GOOD.10–21
- Q2 0:57UCLAUCLA rush for a touchdown.9–21
- Q2 7:12NEBNEBRASKA Extra point GOOD.3–21
- Q2 7:12NEBNEBRASKA pass complete for a touchdown.3–20
- Q1 0:31NEBNEBRASKA Extra point GOOD.3–14
- Q1 0:31NEBNEBRASKA pass complete for a touchdown.3–13
- Q1 7:13UCLAUCLA 44 yard field goal GOOD.3–7
- Q1 9:45NEBNEBRASKA Extra point GOOD.0–7
- Q1 9:45NEBNEBRASKA pass complete for a touchdown.0–6
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (NEB Elo 1691, UCLA Elo 1717 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects NEB -1.4 (55% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#48 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #72 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Nebraska leads 8–7 · 40% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →