McNeese vs. South Florida: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats


MCNETeam statsUSF
- Q4 5:37MCNEMCNEESE ST 24 yard field goal GOOD.53–21
- Q4 12:59MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.50–21
- Q4 12:59MCNEMCNEESE ST pass complete for a touchdown.50–21
- Q4 13:57USFSOUTH FLORIDA Extra point GOOD.43–21
- Q4 13:57USFSOUTH FLORIDA pass complete for a touchdown.43–20
- Q3 4:23MCNEMCNEESE ST 32 yard field goal GOOD.43–14
- Q3 11:23USFSOUTH FLORIDA Extra point GOOD.40–14
- Q3 11:23USFSOUTH FLORIDA pass complete for a touchdown.40–14
- Q3 12:46MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.40–7
- Q3 12:46MCNEMCNEESE ST rush for a touchdown.39–7
- Q2 0:12MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.33–7
- Q2 0:12MCNEMCNEESE ST interception return for a touchdown.33–7
- Q2 3:13MCNEMCNEESE ST 47 yard field goal GOOD.26–7
- Q2 6:47MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.23–7
- Q2 6:47MCNEMCNEESE ST pass complete for a touchdown.23–7
- Q2 10:38MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.16–7
- Q2 10:38MCNEMCNEESE ST rush for a touchdown.15–7
- Q2 11:02MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.9–7
- Q2 11:02MCNEMCNEESE ST rush for a touchdown.8–7
- Q1 7:55USFSOUTH FLORIDA rush for a safety.2–7
- Q1 12:47USFSOUTH FLORIDA Extra point GOOD.0–7
- Q1 12:47USFSOUTH FLORIDA rush for a touchdown.0–6
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- MCNE played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and USF did not face the same ones. 3rd & 11.1 vs 3rd & 7.6
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = MCNE ahead, below = USF ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassCody Stroud 12/21, 207 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushMarcus Wiltz 13 CAR, 79 YDS
- RecNic Jacobs 5 REC, 122 YDS, 2 TD
- PassBobby Eveld 10/20, 137 YDS, 2 TD
- RushMarcus Shaw 12 CAR, 145 YDS, 1 TD
- RecStephen Bravo-Brown 1 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsMCNE up 29 entering the 4th quarter. Across 527 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of McNeese vs. South Florida?
McNeese 53, South Florida 21.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked USF, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| MCNE | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| 424 | Total yards | 342 |
| 244 | Passing yards | 209 |
| 180 | Rushing yards | 133 |
| 19 | First downs | 14 |
| 6-15 | 3rd down | 3-13 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 2-5 |
| 16/25 | Comp/Att | 19/40 |
| 9.8 | Yards per pass | 5.2 |
| 4.3 | Yards per rush | 6.3 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 4-33 | Penalties | 3-44 |
| 35:54 | Possession | 24:06 |
Costliest call
Q1 12:40 MCNE punt on 4th & 2 at MCNE 44. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.75 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 5:37MCNEMCNEESE ST 24 yard field goal GOOD.53–21
- Q4 12:59MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.50–21
- Q4 12:59MCNEMCNEESE ST pass complete for a touchdown.50–21
- Q4 13:57USFSOUTH FLORIDA Extra point GOOD.43–21
- Q4 13:57USFSOUTH FLORIDA pass complete for a touchdown.43–20
- Q3 4:23MCNEMCNEESE ST 32 yard field goal GOOD.43–14
- Q3 11:23USFSOUTH FLORIDA Extra point GOOD.40–14
- Q3 11:23USFSOUTH FLORIDA pass complete for a touchdown.40–14
- Q3 12:46MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.40–7
- Q3 12:46MCNEMCNEESE ST rush for a touchdown.39–7
- Q2 0:12MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.33–7
- Q2 0:12MCNEMCNEESE ST interception return for a touchdown.33–7
- Q2 3:13MCNEMCNEESE ST 47 yard field goal GOOD.26–7
- Q2 6:47MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.23–7
- Q2 6:47MCNEMCNEESE ST pass complete for a touchdown.23–7
- Q2 10:38MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.16–7
- Q2 10:38MCNEMCNEESE ST rush for a touchdown.15–7
- Q2 11:02MCNEMCNEESE ST Extra point GOOD.9–7
- Q2 11:02MCNEMCNEESE ST rush for a touchdown.8–7
- Q1 7:55USFSOUTH FLORIDA rush for a safety.2–7
- Q1 12:47USFSOUTH FLORIDA Extra point GOOD.0–7
- Q1 12:47USFSOUTH FLORIDA rush for a touchdown.0–6
Model prediction
how the number is builtThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#1 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #8 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →
































