Stony Brook vs. Maine: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Stony Brook0-1

Maine0-1

▸

Final

Alfond StadiumConference game

	1	2	3	4	T
STON	0	14	7	7	28
MAIN	28	14	14	0	56

STONTeam statsMAIN

479Total yards512

348Pass425

131Rush87

19First downs25

4-133rd down3-10

3Turnovers1

29:25Possession30:35

Q4 3:27STONRJ Lamarre 6 Yd pass from Casey Case (Spencer Biscoe Kick)28–56
Q3 1:05STONJayden Cook 36 Yd pass from Casey Case (Spencer Biscoe Kick)21–56
Q3 6:35MAINCooper Heisey 2 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Cody Williams Kick)14–56
Q3 9:14MAINTristen Kenan 2 Yd Run (Cody Williams Kick)14–49
Q2 0:31MAINMontigo Moss 27 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Cody Williams Kick)14–42
Q2 2:36STONCal Redman 51 Yd pass from Casey Case (Spencer Biscoe Kick)14–35
Q2 7:56MAINJoe Gillette 34 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Cody Williams Kick)7–35
Q2 10:01STONJayden Cook 47 Yd pass from Casey Case (Spencer Biscoe Kick)7–28
Q1 0:54MAINMontigo Moss 41 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Cody Williams Kick)0–28
Q1 6:25MAINTrevin Ewing 30 Yd Run (Cody Williams Kick)0–21
Q1 10:27MAINJoe Gillette 55 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Cody Williams Kick)0–14
Q1 12:36MAINTristen Kenan 1 Yd Run (Cody Williams Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

MAIN −6

Against the number

MAIN covered

line MAIN −6

Kickoff149 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

MAIN (top)STON (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: MAIN 100%

Closing line

MAIN −6

Closing total

40.5

Model line

—

Actual result

STON 28 – 56 MAIN

Stony Brook

PassCasey Case 22/37, 348 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushShakhi Carson 9 CAR, 59 YDS
RecJayden Cook 7 REC, 117 YDS, 2 TD

Maine

PassDerek Robertson 25/30, 394 YDS, 5 TD
RushTrevin Ewing 1 CAR, 30 YDS, 1 TD
RecMontigo Moss 5 REC, 108 YDS, 2 TD

25.6sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

132

Points / snap

0.64

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

MAIN up 35 entering the 4th quarter. Across 274 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

MAIN went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WAir Force vs Robert Morris42-7 WMiami (OH) vs Delaware State62-20 WMichigan vs Nebraska45-7 WSouth Dakota State vs Northern Iowa41-6 WJames Madison vs Georgia Southern41-13

FAQ

What was the final score of Stony Brook vs. Maine?

Stony Brook 28, Maine 56.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (MAIN) was correct.

STON

MAIN

40%

Success rate

52%

0.39

EPA / pass

0.88

-0.35

EPA / rush

0.01

45%

Early-down success

56%

44%

Pass success

63%

35%

Rush success

40%

21%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

17%

19%

Stuffed rush rate

43%

61%

Pass rate

54%

8.1

Avg 3rd-down distance

7.2

STON

8.1 yards to go on 3rd down

67 scrimmage snaps

MAIN

7.2 yards to go on 3rd down

65 scrimmage snaps

STON		MAIN
479	Total yards	512
348	Passing yards	425
131	Rushing yards	87
19	First downs	25
4-13	3rd down	3-10
0-2	4th down	0-0
22/37	Comp/Att	29/35
9.4	Yards per pass	12.1
4.5	Yards per rush	2.9
3	Turnovers	1
6-43	Penalties	4-35
29:25	Possession	30:35

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

STONTeam statsMAIN

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Stony Brook vs. Maine?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Stony Brook vs. Maine: Final Score & Recap

STONTeam statsMAIN

How the model called it

What was the final score of Stony Brook vs. Maine?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?