Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
GTTeam statsPITT
- Q4 5:01GTMatt Connors 6 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)56–28
- Q4 8:19PITTIsaac Bennett 35 Yd pass from Trey Anderson (Chris Blewitt Kick)49–28
- Q4 10:01GTDeon Hill 8 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)49–21
- Q4 11:22GTTony Zenon 57 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)42–21
- Q3 6:21PITTJames Conner 16 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)35–21
- Q3 11:16GTBroderick Snoddy 28 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)35–14
- Q2 6:24PITTJames Conner 4 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)28–14
- Q2 11:32PITTJames Conner 1 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)28–7
- Q1 9:44GTBroderick Snoddy 34 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)28–0
- Q1 10:40GTJustin Thomas 14 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)21–0
- Q1 11:04GTCharles Perkins 79 Yd pass from Justin Thomas (Harrison Butker Kick)14–0
- Q1 12:57GTBroderick Snoddy 4 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassJustin Thomas 5/10, 147 YDS, 1 TD
- RushSynjyn Days 22 CAR, 110 YDS
- RecCharles Perkins 1 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
- PassChad Voytik 15/20, 193 YDS
- RushJames Conner 10 CAR, 120 YDS, 3 TD
- RecTyler Boyd 9 REC, 137 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsGT up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,012 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 12:57GT +16%
Broderick Snoddy run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
- Q1 11:04GT +12%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Charles Perkins for 79 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
- Q1 10:40GT +7%
Justin Thomas run for 14 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
- Q2 6:24PITT +7%
James Conner 4 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)
FAQ
What was the final score of Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh?
Georgia Tech 56, Pittsburgh 28.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (GT) was correct.
| GT | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 612 | Total yards | 526 |
| 147 | Passing yards | 328 |
| 465 | Rushing yards | 198 |
| 27 | First downs | 19 |
| 6-12 | 3rd down | 8-12 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 5/12 | Comp/Att | 23/35 |
| 12.3 | Yards per pass | 9.4 |
| 7.3 | Yards per rush | 6.4 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 3-15 | Penalties | 2-15 |
| 33:32 | Possession | 26:28 |
Costliest call
Q2 1:56 PITT punt on 4th & 4 at GT 44. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.71 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 5:01GTMatt Connors 6 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)56–28
- Q4 8:19PITTIsaac Bennett 35 Yd pass from Trey Anderson (Chris Blewitt Kick)49–28
- Q4 10:01GTDeon Hill 8 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)49–21
- Q4 11:22GTTony Zenon 57 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)42–21
- Q3 6:21PITTJames Conner 16 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)35–21
- Q3 11:16GTBroderick Snoddy 28 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)35–14
- Q2 6:24PITTJames Conner 4 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)28–14
- Q2 11:32PITTJames Conner 1 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)28–7
- Q1 9:44GTBroderick Snoddy 34 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)28–0
- Q1 10:40GTJustin Thomas 14 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)21–0
- Q1 11:04GTCharles Perkins 79 Yd pass from Justin Thomas (Harrison Butker Kick)14–0
- Q1 12:57GTBroderick Snoddy 4 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (PITT Elo 1488, GT Elo 1643 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects PITT +3.8 (41% to win) — 7.3 points clear of GT's market line of -3.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2014
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#19 of 94 in 2014 by biggest miss · #74 of 94 in 2014 by longest odds.
The 2014 upset archive →Pittsburgh leads 12–6 · 39% have been one-possession games
| GT | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.47 | points / drive | 2.53 |
| 2.23 | allowed / drive | 2.50 |
| 13% | three-and-outs | 24% |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →