Towson vs. UConn: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Towson

▸

UConn

Final

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
TOWS	7	6	6	14	33
CONN	7	3	0	8	18

TOWSTeam statsCONN

393Total yards290

192Pass206

201Rush84

17First downs15

7-163rd down4-13

1Turnovers2

36:23Possession35:41

Q4 0:16TOWSTOWSON Extra point GOOD.33–18
Q4 0:16TOWSTOWSON rush for a touchdown.32–18
Q4 3:29CONNCONNECTICUT2-point conversion pass GOOD.26–18
Q4 3:29CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.26–16
Q4 5:14TOWSTOWSON Extra point GOOD.26–10
Q4 5:14TOWSTOWSON rush for a touchdown.26–10
Q3 5:09TOWSTOWSON rush for a touchdown.19–10
Q2 1:48CONNCONNECTICUT 22 yard field goal GOOD.13–10
Q2 7:04TOWSTOWSON rush for a touchdown.13–7
Q1 2:51TOWSTOWSON Extra point GOOD.7–7
Q1 2:51TOWSTOWSON pass complete for a touchdown.6–7
Q1 4:55CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.0–7
Q1 4:55CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.0–6

How the model called it

Market line

CONN −20

Against the number

TOWS covered

line CONN −20

What the numbers say

TOWS lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 13% explosive on a 37% success rate

Game flow — scoreboard margin by quarter

TOWS aheadCONN ahead

Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = TOWS ahead, below = CONN ahead.

GRIDPEX.COM

Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.

Closing line

CONN −20

Closing total

—

Model line

—

Actual result

TOWS 33 – 18 CONN

consensus, liveCONN −20

Towson

PassPeter Athens 13/20, 192 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushTerrance West 36 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD
RecLeon Kinnard 4 REC, 61 YDS

UConn

PassChandler Whitmer 16/28, 206 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
RushLyle McCombs 17 CAR, 76 YDS
RecGeremy Davis 5 REC, 100 YDS

29.6sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

121

Points / snap

0.42

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

TOWS up 9 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,696 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

87%

TOWS went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

LTexas Tech vs Oregon30-38 WPrinceton vs San Diego23-12 WGeorgia State vs Charlotte41-25 WJames Madison vs Troy16-14 WChattanooga vs Mercer22-10

FAQ

What was the final score of Towson vs. UConn?

Towson 33, UConn 18.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

No — the model picked CONN, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.

TOWS

CONN

37%

Success rate

41%

0.55

EPA / pass

0.23

-0.18

EPA / rush

0.01

34%

Early-down success

41%

52%

Pass success

45%

31%

Rush success

36%

13%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

16%

18%

Stuffed rush rate

18%

30%

Pass rate

57%

5.4

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.2

TOWS

5.4 yards to go on 3rd down

70 scrimmage snaps

CONN

6.2 yards to go on 3rd down

51 scrimmage snaps

TOWS		CONN
393	Total yards	290
192	Passing yards	206
201	Rushing yards	84
17	First downs	15
7-16	3rd down	4-13
2-3	4th down	1-2
13/20	Comp/Att	16/28
9.6	Yards per pass	7.4
4.0	Yards per rush	3.0
1	Turnovers	2
7-70	Penalties	5-35
36:23	Possession	35:41

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

TOWSTeam statsCONN

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Towson vs. UConn?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

The matchup, in context

Towson vs. UConn: Final Score & Recap

TOWSTeam statsCONN

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Towson vs. UConn?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?