Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
OKSTTeam statsWVU
- Q4 1:28WVUWEST VIRGINIA 34 yard field goal GOOD.21–30
- Q4 3:54WVUWEST VIRGINIA 27 yard field goal GOOD.21–27
- Q3 11:35OKSTOKLAHOMA ST Extra point GOOD.21–24
- Q3 11:35OKSTOKLAHOMA ST pass complete for a touchdown.20–24
- Q2 2:43WVUWEST VIRGINIA Extra point GOOD.14–24
- Q2 2:43WVUWEST VIRGINIA rush for a touchdown.14–23
- Q2 8:15OKSTOKLAHOMA ST Extra point GOOD.14–17
- Q2 8:15OKSTOKLAHOMA ST pass complete for a touchdown.13–17
- Q2 10:43WVUWEST VIRGINIA 45 yard field goal GOOD.7–17
- Q1 1:26WVUWEST VIRGINIA Extra point GOOD.7–14
- Q1 1:26WVUWEST VIRGINIA pass complete for a touchdown.7–13
- Q1 6:53WVUWEST VIRGINIA Extra point GOOD.7–7
- Q1 6:53WVUWEST VIRGINIA interception return for a touchdown.7–6
- Q1 8:32OKSTOKLAHOMA ST Extra point GOOD.7–0
- Q1 8:32OKSTOKLAHOMA ST pass complete for a touchdown.6–0
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- OKST lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 13% explosive on a 33% success rate
- PassJ.W. Walsh 20/47, 322 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
- RushJ.W. Walsh 16 CAR, 52 YDS
- RecJosh Stewart 7 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
- PassClint Trickett 24/50, 309 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
- RushCharles Sims 18 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
- RecCharles Sims 5 REC, 82 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsWVU up 3 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,469 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q4 6:20WVU +22%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 6 yards to the OKSt 28
- Q3 11:35OKST +22%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 30 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 2:43WVU +20%
Charles Sims rush for 1 yard for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q4 3:54WVU +19%
Josh Lambert 27 yard field goal GOOD
- Q2 8:15OKST +18%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Tracy Moore for 27 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q4 9:34WVU +17%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Charles Sims for 3 yards to the WVirg 23
FAQ
What was the final score of Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia?
Oklahoma State 21, West Virginia 30.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked OKST, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| OKST | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 433 | Total yards | 388 |
| 322 | Passing yards | 320 |
| 111 | Rushing yards | 68 |
| 18 | First downs | 21 |
| 6-20 | 3rd down | 8-22 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 20/47 | Comp/Att | 25/51 |
| 6.9 | Yards per pass | 6.3 |
| 2.8 | Yards per rush | 1.7 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 10-96 | Penalties | 6-39 |
| 26:34 | Possession | 32:45 |
Costliest call
Q2 13:04 WVU punt on 4th & 8 at OKST 39. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.46 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:28WVUWEST VIRGINIA 34 yard field goal GOOD.21–30
- Q4 3:54WVUWEST VIRGINIA 27 yard field goal GOOD.21–27
- Q3 11:35OKSTOKLAHOMA ST Extra point GOOD.21–24
- Q3 11:35OKSTOKLAHOMA ST pass complete for a touchdown.20–24
- Q2 2:43WVUWEST VIRGINIA Extra point GOOD.14–24
- Q2 2:43WVUWEST VIRGINIA rush for a touchdown.14–23
- Q2 8:15OKSTOKLAHOMA ST Extra point GOOD.14–17
- Q2 8:15OKSTOKLAHOMA ST pass complete for a touchdown.13–17
- Q2 10:43WVUWEST VIRGINIA 45 yard field goal GOOD.7–17
- Q1 1:26WVUWEST VIRGINIA Extra point GOOD.7–14
- Q1 1:26WVUWEST VIRGINIA pass complete for a touchdown.7–13
- Q1 6:53WVUWEST VIRGINIA Extra point GOOD.7–7
- Q1 6:53WVUWEST VIRGINIA interception return for a touchdown.7–6
- Q1 8:32OKSTOKLAHOMA ST Extra point GOOD.7–0
- Q1 8:32OKSTOKLAHOMA ST pass complete for a touchdown.6–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (WVU Elo 1519, OKST Elo 1871 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects WVU +11.7 (23% to win) — 8.3 points clear of WVU's market line of +20. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#24 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #7 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Oklahoma State leads 10–6 · 38% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
Create a free account →You get Pro free for 6 months. No card required.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →