#14Xavier White

WR·Texas Tech·2021 20200.0 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Xavier White is a 2-year Versatile WR for Texas Tech.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Xavier White's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2021 Production

Rushing

310 Rush yards3 Rush TD68 Carries4.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

18 Receptions133 Rec yards1 Rec TD7.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs WR peers

Efficiency0
Volume31
Explosiveness3
Consistency0
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs WR peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.46 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs TCU (SP+ -1).

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
De'Michael Harris	Southern Miss	2019	117	0.130	0.7	15.2
Hyleck Foster	Marshall	2015	101	0.180	0.5	18.2
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8
Davis Bryson	Kennesaw State	2024	97	0.200	0.0	19.4
Shai Werts	Georgia Southern	2017	161	0.150	0.0	24.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsHouston	W38-21	10.9	1	3	3.0	1	3	-0.98
2	vsStephen F. Austin	W28-22	—	2	8	4.0	0	8	0.38
3	vsFlorida International	W54-21	-21.6	1	4	4.0	0	4	0.15
4	@Texas	L35-70	8.5	1	4	4.0	0	4	-0.38
5	@West Virginia	W23-20	1.8	2	20	10.0	0	13	0.08
6	vsTCU	L31-52	-0.6	3	26	8.7	0	17	0.46
7	@Kansas	W41-14	-19.7	—	—	—	—	—	-0.14
8	vsKansas State	L24-25	14.2	1	12	12.0	0	12	-0.40
9	@Oklahoma	L21-52	16.8	—	—	—	—	—	0.12
11	vsIowa State	W41-38	14.3	3	14	4.7	0	8	-0.13
12	vsOklahoma State	L0-23	17.2	—	—	—	—	—	-0.59
13	@Baylor	L24-27	15.6	3	23	7.7	0	16	0.38
1	vsMississippi State	W34-7	10.5	1	19	19.0	0	19	-0.07

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

10.8%

Passing plays

5.1%

Rushing plays

16.5%

Standard downs

12.3%

Passing downs

6.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.08
Passing downs: 0.41
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.50 / -0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2020 — 2021 · 21 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2020	Texas Tech	0.5	0.300	—	18.6
2021	Texas Tech	0.0	0.040	-0.26	2.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.