#2Trey Kukuk

QB·Louisiana Tech·2025

Trey Kukuk is a Dual-Threat QB for Louisiana Tech. Trey's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 203 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Trey Kukuk's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

67/106 Comp/Att644 Pass yards3 Pass TD4 INT63.2% Comp %

Rushing

609 Rush yards5 Rush TD98 Carries6.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume91
Dual-Threat100
Consistency51
Clutch58

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency51th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.12 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.12 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Sam Houston (SP+ -28).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsSE Louisiana	W24-0	—	14/19	130	1	0	23.2	48	0	0.11
2	@LSU	L7-23	10.3	12/18	50	0	0	33.5	16	0	-0.16
3	vsNew Mexico State	W49-14	-15.5	2/3	44	1	1	30.6	40	0	0.16
7	@Kennesaw State	L7-35	-5.4	1/3	11	0	1	0.2	2	0	-0.20
10	vsSam Houston	W55-14	-27.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.12
11	@Delaware	L24-25	-10.9	3/3	66	0	0	39.1	28	0	0.35
12	@Washington State	L3-28	3.8	5/8	24	0	1	38.8	39	0	-0.21
13	vsLiberty	W34-28	-9.0	13/20	118	0	0	80.0	143	2	0.48
14	@Missouri State	W42-30	-10.7	8/13	87	0	0	97.2	172	3	0.67
20	vsCoastal Carolina	W23-14	-15.1	9/19	114	1	1	27.9	121	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

32.0%

Passing plays

50.2%

Rushing plays

22.5%

Standard downs

27.2%

Passing downs

43.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.30
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.10 / 0.44

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).