Skip to content
Sam Pinckney
Sam Pinckney

#15Sam Pinckney

WR·Coastal Carolina·2023

Sam Pinckney is a Slot Specialist WR for Coastal Carolina. Sam's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 88 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Sam Pinckney's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving
72 Receptions1027 Rec yards8 Rec TD14.3 Yards/rec
Returns
1 Kick returns2 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume29
  • Explosiveness48
  • Consistency84
  • Pass-Down87
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency84th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.26 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.92 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Duquesne.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.920−2.92Wk 1 vs UCLA: +0.67 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Jacksonville State: +1.75 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Duquesne: +2.92 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Georgia State: +0.80 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Georgia Southern: +1.52 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs App State: +0.96 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Arkansas State: +0.75 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Marshall: +1.87 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Old Dominion: +0.30 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Texas State: +1.35 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Army: +0.63 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs James Madison: +1.75 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@UCLAL13-279.7913915.41520.67
2vsJacksonville StateW30-16-1.646315.80331.75
3vsDuquesneW66-7—24221.01312.92
4vsGeorgia StateL17-30-6.866711.20200.80
5@Georgia SouthernL28-38-5.2713218.91421.52
7@App StateW27-243.8710214.60310.96
8@Arkansas StateW27-17-6.34205.0190.75
9vsMarshallW34-6-9.024824.00311.87
10@Old DominionW28-24-10.17699.91160.30
11vsTexas StateW31-23-1.668113.51251.35
12@ArmyL21-28-4.067813.01310.63
13vsJames MadisonL14-5611.846315.80261.75
20vsSan José StateW24-14-3.4812315.4122—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
10.3%
Passing plays
20.9%
Rushing plays
0.2%
Standard downs
7.8%
Passing downs
15.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.94
Passing downs
1.17
Pass / Rush EPA
1.06 / -0.26

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.