Skip to content
Markese Stepp

#30Markese Stepp

Markese Stepp is a Committee Back for Western Kentucky. Markese's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 71 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Markese Stepp's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
310 Rush yards3 Rush TD69 Carries4.5 Yards/carry
Receiving
7 Receptions73 Rec yards0 Rec TD10.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume30
  • Explosiveness30
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving37
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.14 EPA/play decline from first to second half.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.6900.69Wk 1 vs South Florida: +0.28 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Houston Christian: +0.25 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Ohio State: -0.21 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.11 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.14 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Jacksonville State: -0.07 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Liberty: +0.20 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs UTEP: -0.69 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs New Mexico State: +0.09 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Sam Houston: +0.30 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Florida International: -0.07 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsSouth FloridaW41-24-6.64215.3121800.28
2vsHouston ChristianW52-229485.300.25
3@Ohio StateL10-6325.28192.40250-0.21
5vsMiddle TennesseeW31-10-9.56162.7011900.11
6@Louisiana TechW35-28-12.99768.410.14
8@Jacksonville StateL17-20-1.67233.30-0.07
9vsLibertyL29-428.04297.300.20
10@UTEPW21-13-16.2341.30-0.69
11vsNew Mexico StateL29-38-1.88344.3012600.09
12vsSam HoustonW28-23-13.8482.010.30
13@Florida InternationalW41-28-21.27324.60150-0.07

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
10.4%
Passing plays
2.1%
Rushing plays
22.7%
Standard downs
13.9%
Passing downs
3.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.10
Passing downs
-0.07
Pass / Rush EPA
0.06 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.