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Latreal Jones
Latreal Jones

#6Latreal Jones

WR·Southern Miss·2023

Latreal Jones is a Versatile WR for Southern Miss. Latreal's 2023 season produced 38.4 total EPA across 39 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Latreal Jones's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving
36 Receptions498 Rec yards3 Rec TD13.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume17
  • Explosiveness46
  • Consistency76
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency76th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.36 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 3.10 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs UL Monroe (SP+ -22).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+3.100−3.10Wk 1 vs Alcorn State: +2.22 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Tulane: +0.66 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Arkansas State: +1.05 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Texas State: +1.38 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Old Dominion: +1.31 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs South Alabama: -0.38 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs App State: +0.78 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs UL Monroe: +3.10 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Louisiana: +0.43 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Mississippi State: +0.90 EPA/play12
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsAlcorn StateW40-14—36822.70382.22
3vsTulaneL3-212.87466.60130.66
4@Arkansas StateL37-44-6.356312.61281.05
5vsTexas StateL36-50-1.6612420.70431.38
6vsOld DominionL13-17-10.122311.50161.31
8@South AlabamaL3-555.1177.007-0.38
9@App StateL38-483.868113.51320.78
10vsUL MonroeW24-7-21.613838.01383.10
11@LouisianaW34-310.433010.00120.43
12@Mississippi StateL20-410.52189.00100.90

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.1%
Passing plays
13.6%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
5.2%
Passing downs
7.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.75
Passing downs
1.28
Pass / Rush EPA
0.98 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.