#1Jerjuan Newton

WR·Toledo·2024

Jerjuan Newton is a Versatile WR for Toledo. Jerjuan's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 78 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jerjuan Newton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving

72 Receptions1033 Rec yards11 Rec TD14.3 Yards/rec

Returns

9 Kick returns172 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume27
Explosiveness49
Consistency80
Pass-Down94

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.70 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 3.19 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Massachusetts (SP+ -22).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsDuquesne	W49-10	—	5	98	19.6	1	54	2.34
2	vsMassachusetts	W38-23	-21.9	1	40	40.0	1	40	3.19
3	@Mississippi State	W41-17	-4.1	5	62	12.4	2	17	1.96
4	@Western Kentucky	L21-26	-2.2	5	31	6.2	0	12	-0.22
6	vsMiami (OH)	W30-20	1.3	8	127	15.9	1	40	1.35
7	@Buffalo	L15-30	-4.0	7	159	22.7	2	48	1.27
8	@Northern Illinois	W13-6	-3.5	3	64	21.3	1	52	1.30
9	vsBowling Green	L26-41	-1.8	9	164	18.2	2	64	1.67
10	@Eastern Michigan	W29-28	-13.3	6	38	6.3	0	21	0.07
12	vsCentral Michigan	W37-10	-15.8	3	40	13.3	0	24	1.23
13	vsOhio	L7-24	2.3	4	45	11.3	0	20	1.01
14	@Akron	L14-21	-17.9	8	81	10.1	1	19	0.77
20	vsPittsburgh	W48-46	4.9	8	84	10.5	0	29	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.3%

Passing plays

17.3%

Rushing plays

0.2%

Standard downs

9.6%

Passing downs

8.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.94
Passing downs: 1.21
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.04 / -0.58

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).