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Jaden Williams
Jaden Williams

#0Jaden Williams

WR·Texas State·2024

Jaden Williams is a Versatile WR for Texas State. Jaden's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 65 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jaden Williams's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
57 Receptions807 Rec yards7 Rec TD14.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume21
  • Explosiveness48
  • Consistency82
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.14 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.15 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Arkansas State (SP+ -10).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.150−2.15Wk 1 vs Lamar: +2.09 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs UTSA: -0.20 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Arizona State: +0.98 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Sam Houston: +0.94 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Troy: +2.02 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Arkansas State: +2.15 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Old Dominion: +0.09 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Louisiana: +1.42 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Southern Miss: +1.86 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Georgia State: +0.78 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs South Alabama: +1.78 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsLamarW34-27—7699.91342.09
2vsUTSAW49-102.211515.0015-0.20
3vsArizona StateL28-319.447518.82440.98
5vsSam HoustonL39-40-6.91013313.30290.94
6@TroyW38-17-6.657314.61202.02
7vsArkansas StateW41-9-9.923517.51252.15
8@Old DominionL14-24-6.05357.00140.09
10vsLouisianaL17-234.844711.80281.42
12vsSouthern MissW58-3-25.637123.71391.86
13vsGeorgia StateL44-52-17.979113.00240.78
14@South AlabamaW45-382.8188.0081.78
20vsNorth TexasW30-28-4.5815519.4170—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
7.5%
Passing plays
15.6%
Rushing plays
0.2%
Standard downs
6.6%
Passing downs
9.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.87
Passing downs
1.45
Pass / Rush EPA
1.09 / 1.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Jaden Williams Stats, EPA & Player Profile — Texas State · Gridpex