Skip to content
Ja'Kobi Lane

#8Ja'Kobi Lane

WR·USC·2025

Ja'Kobi Lane is a Slot Specialist WR for USC. Ja'Kobi's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 70 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ja'Kobi Lane's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
49 Receptions745 Rec yards4 Rec TD15.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume28
  • Explosiveness55
  • Consistency83
  • Pass-Down98
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.59 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.57 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Purdue (SP+ -6).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh0.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force0.4701.328.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State0.4601.232.2
Savion WilliamsTCU0.4501.125.2
Bert Emanuel Jr.Central Michigan0.4601.624.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.5701.57Wk 1 vs Missouri State: +0.65 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Georgia Southern: +1.53 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Purdue: +1.57 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Illinois: +1.48 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Michigan: +0.64 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Notre Dame: +0.83 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Nebraska: +0.19 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Northwestern: +1.18 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Iowa: +0.32 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Oregon: +1.06 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs UCLA: +0.16 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsMissouri StateW73-13-10.733311.00160.65
2vsGeorgia SouthernW59-20-9.439130.31531.53
3@PurdueW33-17-6.1311538.30591.57
5@IllinoisL32-3412.94399.80141.48
7vsMichiganW31-1312.45357.01110.64
8@Notre DameL24-3424.4611118.51590.83
10@NebraskaW21-176.222211.00130.19
11vsNorthwesternW38-175.877410.61141.18
12vsIowaW26-2119.77659.30140.32
13@OregonL27-4225.9610818.00321.06
14vsUCLAW29-10-8.735217.30280.16

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
9.8%
Passing plays
19.3%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
8.4%
Passing downs
13.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.71
Passing downs
1.00
Pass / Rush EPA
0.82 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.