#3Grayson James

QB·Boston College·2025

Grayson James is a Dual-Threat QB for Boston College. Grayson's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 191 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Grayson James's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

87/151 Comp/Att1196 Pass yards7 Pass TD5 INT57.6% Comp %

Rushing

65 Rush yards0 Rush TD54 Carries1.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat51
Consistency37
Clutch82

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency37th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.69 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 2.12 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Fordham.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsFordham	W66-10	—	5/5	190	1	0	100.0	9	0	2.12
6	@Pittsburgh	L7-48	8.4	2/9	30	0	1	3.7	—	—	-0.17
8	vsUConn	L23-38	5.1	16/28	204	2	0	53.4	26	0	0.31
9	@Louisville	L24-38	12.4	23/46	244	3	2	56.0	26	0	0.12
10	vsNotre Dame	L10-25	24.4	25/37	240	1	2	59.8	-21	0	0.02
11	vsSMU	L13-45	13.4	0/2	0	0	0	1.7	23	0	-0.42
14	@Syracuse	W34-12	-13.1	16/24	288	0	0	87.5	2	0	0.60

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

40.2%

Passing plays

59.2%

Rushing plays

16.4%

Standard downs

33.4%

Passing downs

56.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.10
Passing downs: 0.31
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.20 / 0.16

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).