#15Ethan Vasko

QB·Coastal Carolina·2024

Ethan Vasko is a Dual-Threat QB for Coastal Carolina. Ethan's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 367 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ethan Vasko's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

148/271 Comp/Att2120 Pass yards14 Pass TD8 INT54.6% Comp %

Rushing

447 Rush yards5 Rush TD107 Carries4.2 Yards/carry

Punting

1 Punts43 Punt yards43.0 Yards/punt43 Long1 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat98
Consistency63
Clutch64

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency63th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.14 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.91 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Georgia State (SP+ -18).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Jacksonville State	W55-27	-1.0	12/19	249	2	1	70.6	39	1	0.47
2	vsWilliam & Mary	W40-21	—	8/23	160	0	0	58.9	59	0	0.27
3	@Temple	W28-20	-20.3	15/21	103	1	0	56.9	92	0	0.33
4	vsVirginia	L24-43	-5.1	10/21	222	1	1	45.1	24	1	0.36
6	vsOld Dominion	W45-37	-6.0	19/26	367	3	0	86.4	6	0	0.88
7	@James Madison	L7-39	7.5	5/18	84	1	2	39.6	38	0	-0.15
8	vsLouisiana	L24-34	4.8	3/10	10	0	0	5.7	7	0	-0.23
10	@Troy	L24-38	-6.6	18/34	206	1	0	20.6	20	1	0.19
11	vsApp State	W38-24	-8.1	14/18	150	1	0	62.1	52	1	0.49
12	@Marshall	L19-31	3.1	21/39	267	1	1	44.7	20	0	0.14
13	vsGeorgia Southern	L6-26	-1.7	10/25	102	0	2	12.9	22	0	-0.19
14	@Georgia State	W48-27	-17.9	13/17	200	3	1	94.4	68	1	0.91

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

49.0%

Passing plays

81.7%

Rushing plays

23.4%

Standard downs

43.3%

Passing downs

60.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.27
Passing downs: 0.40
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.30 / 0.39

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).