#5Ethan Hampton

QB·Northern Illinois·2024

Ethan Hampton is a Dual-Threat QB for Northern Illinois. Ethan's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 269 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ethan Hampton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

143/245 Comp/Att1608 Pass yards12 Pass TD6 INT58.4% Comp %

Rushing

129 Rush yards2 Rush TD53 Carries2.4 Yards/carry

Punting

4 Punts162 Punt yards40.5 Yards/punt46 Long2 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency55
Clutch46

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency55th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.44 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.90 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Western Illinois.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsWestern Illinois	W54-15	—	18/20	328	5	0	98.1	8	0	1.90
2	@Notre Dame	W16-14	23.9	10/19	198	1	0	87.1	21	0	0.46
4	vsBuffalo	L20-23	-4.0	23/43	194	0	1	44.5	16	0	0.14
5	@NC State	L17-24	3.9	14/29	159	1	2	19.8	-19	0	0.14
6	vsMassachusetts	W34-20	-21.9	5/9	34	1	1	68.7	64	1	0.74
7	@Bowling Green	W17-7	-1.8	5/7	19	0	0	7.7	19	0	-0.32
9	@Ball State	L23-25	-19.8	17/32	176	1	1	30.6	4	0	0.11
11	@Western Michigan	W42-28	-10.2	13/16	156	2	0	88.2	11	0	0.82
12	vsAkron	W29-16	-17.9	9/16	105	1	0	23.2	10	0	0.18
13	@Miami (OH)	L9-20	1.3	10/25	70	0	1	10.5	-18	0	-0.15
14	vsCentral Michigan	W24-16	-15.8	19/29	169	0	0	45.9	13	1	0.20

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

37.0%

Passing plays

81.4%

Rushing plays

8.3%

Standard downs

31.3%

Passing downs

50.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.26
Passing downs: 0.29
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.23 / 0.53

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).