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Dontae Fleming
Dontae Fleming

#1Dontae Fleming

WR·Tulane·2024

Dontae Fleming is a Vertical Threat WR for Tulane. Dontae's 2024 season produced 40.2 total EPA across 40 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dontae Fleming's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
31 Receptions598 Rec yards1 Rec TD19.3 Yards/rec
Returns
12 Punt returns60 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume14
  • Explosiveness82
  • Consistency70
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 1.03 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.31 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Navy (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.310−2.31Wk 2 vs Kansas State: +1.55 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Oklahoma: +0.82 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Louisiana: +0.62 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs South Florida: +1.57 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs UAB: +1.74 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Rice: +2.17 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs North Texas: +1.51 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Charlotte: +0.90 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Temple: +0.28 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Navy: +2.31 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Memphis: -0.68 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Army: -0.87 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
2vsKansas StateL27-3414.149724.30531.55
3@OklahomaL19-349.545914.80190.82
4@LouisianaW41-334.8188.0080.62
5vsSouth FloridaW45-10-2.3712818.31461.57
6@UABW71-20-11.311212.00121.74
8vsRiceW24-10-11.423618.00242.17
9@North TexasW45-37-4.539230.70451.51
10@CharlotteW34-3-15.333511.70160.90
11vsTempleW52-6-20.325427.00460.28
12@NavyW35-03.525628.00442.31
14vsMemphisL24-349.6—————-0.68
15@ArmyL14-359.2188.008-0.87
20vsFloridaL8-3313.811313.0013—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
5.0%
Passing plays
12.1%
Rushing plays
0.6%
Standard downs
5.0%
Passing downs
5.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.88
Passing downs
1.26
Pass / Rush EPA
1.11 / -0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.