Skip to content
Damon Ward Jr.
Damon Ward Jr.

#8Damon Ward Jr.

WR·North Texas·2024

Damon Ward Jr. is a Vertical Threat WR for North Texas. Damon's 2024 season produced 63.4 total EPA across 43 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Damon Ward Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
41 Receptions755 Rec yards4 Rec TD18.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume17
  • Explosiveness76
  • Consistency87
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.49 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.18 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Stephen F. Austin.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.180−2.18Wk 1 vs South Alabama: +1.51 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Stephen F. Austin: +2.18 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Texas Tech: +2.15 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Wyoming: +0.39 EPA/play4Wk 9 vs Tulane: +1.96 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Army: +0.93 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs UTSA: +1.64 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs East Carolina: +1.33 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Temple: +0.70 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@South AlabamaW52-382.81223019.22541.51
2vsStephen F. AustinW35-20—11616.00162.18
3@Texas TechL21-664.323517.50182.15
4vsWyomingW44-17-13.6177.0070.39
9vsTulaneL37-455.7611118.52441.96
11vsArmyL3-149.246315.80280.93
12@UTSAL27-482.248521.30331.64
13vsEast CarolinaL28-40-1.056813.60211.33
14@TempleW24-17-20.3177.0070.70
20vsTexas StateL28-305.4513326.6057—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.0%
Passing plays
10.2%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
5.6%
Passing downs
6.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.26
Passing downs
1.83
Pass / Rush EPA
1.47 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Damon Ward Jr Stats, EPA & Player Profile — North Texas · Gridpex