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Brock Bowers

#19Brock Bowers

Brock Bowers is a Versatile TE for Georgia. Brock's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 68 plays — a elite rate for the TE.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.42
    Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.46
    Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brock Bowers's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving
56 Receptions714 Rec yards6 Rec TD12.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs TE peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume29
  • Explosiveness38
  • Consistency75
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.70 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Ole Miss (SP+ 18).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Ty ThompsonTulane0.4200.720.2
Seth GreenMinnesota0.3900.032.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.7001.70Wk 1 vs UT Martin: +1.23 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Ball State: -0.43 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs South Carolina: +0.34 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs UAB: +1.09 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Auburn: +1.58 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Kentucky: +0.89 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Vanderbilt: +0.25 EPA/play7Wk 11 vs Ole Miss: +1.70 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Tennessee: +0.64 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Alabama: +0.26 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsUT MartinW48-757815.60231.23
2vsBall StateW45-3-14.9133.003-0.43
3vsSouth CarolinaW24-144.37547.70130.34
4vsUABW49-21-14.7912113.42411.09
5@AuburnW27-207.6815719.61401.58
6vsKentuckyW51-1310.5713218.91490.89
7@VanderbiltW37-20-12.74225.5070.25
11vsOle MissW52-1718.433411.31191.70
12@TennesseeW38-1016.27608.61210.64
14vsAlabamaL24-2723.155310.60230.26

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
10.0%
Passing plays
17.8%
Rushing plays
2.1%
Standard downs
9.0%
Passing downs
13.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.64
Passing downs
1.09
Pass / Rush EPA
0.82 / 0.42

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.