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Anthony Grant

#23Anthony Grant

Anthony Grant is a Committee Back for Nebraska. Anthony's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 104 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Anthony Grant's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
413 Rush yards3 Rush TD104 Carries4.0 Yards/carry
Receiving
4 Receptions13 Rec yards0 Rec TD3.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume46
  • Explosiveness20
  • Consistency13
  • Receiving28
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency13th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.12 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Northern Illinois (SP+ -8).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.6200.62Wk 1 vs Minnesota: -0.62 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Northern Illinois: +0.60 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.19 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Michigan: -0.35 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Illinois: +0.00 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Northwestern: -0.28 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Purdue: -0.09 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Michigan State: -0.09 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Maryland: -0.08 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Wisconsin: -0.01 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Iowa: -0.47 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@MinnesotaL10-130.49273.00-0.62
3vsNorthern IllinoisW35-11-7.57466.611900.60
4vsLouisiana TechW28-14-12.9221356.111200.19
5vsMichiganL7-4531.36162.70110-0.35
6@IllinoisW20-7-2.520562.810.00
8vsNorthwesternW17-9-1.36223.70-0.28
9vsPurdueW31-14-7.36183.00-0.09
10@Michigan StateL17-20-6.89353.90-0.09
11vsMarylandL10-1311.0393.00-0.08
12@WisconsinL17-249.412453.80-0.01
13vsIowaL10-135.8441.00110-0.47

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
16.1%
Passing plays
2.5%
Rushing plays
24.8%
Standard downs
20.1%
Passing downs
8.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.04
Passing downs
-0.29
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.53 / -0.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.