#15Alvon Isaac

RB·South Florida·2025

Alvon Isaac is a Committee Back for South Florida. Alvon's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 73 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Alvon Isaac's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

350 Rush yards0 Rush TD73 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Receiving

12 Receptions120 Rec yards0 Rec TD10.0 Yards/rec

Returns

10 Kick returns224 KR yards0 KR TD6 Punt returns126 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume26
Explosiveness36
Consistency0
Receiving59

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.20 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.95 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Boise State (SP+ 3).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsBoise State	W34-7	3.1	3	52	17.3	1	15	0	0.95
2	@Florida	W18-16	3.5	5	36	7.2	4	49	0	0.47
3	@Miami	L12-49	20.7	6	20	3.3	2	10	0	-0.14
4	vsSouth Carolina State	W63-14	—	7	13	1.9	1	9	0	-0.21
6	vsCharlotte	W54-26	-26.7	2	21	10.5	—	—	—	-1.11
7	@North Texas	W63-36	13.8	12	64	5.3	1	0	0	0.27
8	vsFlorida Atlantic	W48-13	-8.7	8	19	2.4	1	0	0	-0.28
9	@Memphis	L31-34	7.6	3	11	3.7	—	—	—	-0.54
11	vsUTSA	W55-23	3.7	5	14	2.8	1	29	0	0.29
12	@Navy	L38-41	6.2	7	32	4.6	1	8	0	-0.08
13	@UAB	W48-18	-15.8	2	5	2.5	—	—	—	-0.39
14	vsRice	W52-3	-14.8	6	22	3.7	—	—	—	-0.07
20	vsOld Dominion	L10-24	5.9	7	41	5.9	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.0%

Passing plays

2.9%

Rushing plays

14.5%

Standard downs

10.5%

Passing downs

5.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.04
Passing downs: 0.45
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.81 / -0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).