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Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
· CBS· M&T Bank Stadium

Market

Book
-10
o43.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Baltimore Ravens is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-7
Ravens
Win prob
71%
Ravens
Likely range
-9 to 23
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1538 − 1353 = +7.4 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
+4.8 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+7.0 Ravens

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Browns
Away
Our rating
1353#28
FPI rank
#302026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Ravens
Home
Our rating
1538#15
FPI rank
#32026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 5 meetings

Ravens 3–2
  • 2025 wk 11Ravens at Browns2316Ravens
  • 2025 wk 2Browns at Ravens1741Ravens
  • 2024 wk 18Browns at Ravens1035Ravens
  • 2024 wk 8Ravens at Browns2429Browns
  • 2023 wk 10Browns at Ravens3331Browns

From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

CLE @ BAL
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