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Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals

Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals
· FOX· State Farm Stadium

Market

Book
+4.5
o47.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Arizona Cardinals is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-0.8
Cardinals
Win prob
53%
Cardinals
Likely range
-16 to 17
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1304 − 1360 = -2.2 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
-1.4 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+0.8 Cardinals

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Commanders
Away
Our rating
1360#27
FPI rank
#222026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Cardinals
Home
Our rating
1304#29
FPI rank
#312026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 2 meetings

Cardinals 0–2
  • 2024 wk 4Commanders at Cardinals4214Commanders
  • 2023 wk 1Cardinals at Commanders1620Commanders

From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

WSH @ ARI
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