Braves at D-backs
Last play · Ketel Marte doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Jorge Barrosa scores.
Win probability
D-backs100%
ATL 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 3 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jorge Barrosa. Jorge Mateo scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Braves
10Ketel Marte doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Jorge Barrosa scores.5–6
9Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jorge Barrosa. Jorge Mateo scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.5–5
7Corbin Carroll triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Jorge Barrosa scores.4–5
7Drake Baldwin grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Jorge Mateo scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.4–4
6Nolan Arenado singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Corbin Carroll scores.3–4
5Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tim Tawa. Jorge Mateo scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.3–3
5Jorge Mateo walks.2–3
4Ildemaro Vargas triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Corbin Carroll scores. Nolan Arenado scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































