Blue Jays at Athletics
Last play · Blue Jays challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Jeff McNeil singles on a soft ground ball to shortstop Andrés Giménez. Donovan Walton scores. Alika Williams to 3rd. Henry Bolte to 2nd.
Win probability
Athletics100%
TOR 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 5 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +152
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Giménez homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 9) — -38% Blue Jays
9Blue Jays challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Jeff McNeil singles on a soft ground ball to shortstop Andrés Giménez. Donovan Walton scores. Alika Williams to 3rd. Henry Bolte to 2nd.5–6
9Andrés Giménez homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.5–5
7Josh Smith out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Henry Bolte. Ernie Clement scores.4–5
7Andrés Giménez doubles (21) on a line drive to left fielder Henry Bolte. Nathan Lukes scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd.3–5
7Kazuma Okamoto homers (29) on a fly ball to left field.2–5
5Henry Bolte homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.1–5
3Carlos Cortes singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Zack Gelof scores.1–4
3Zack Gelof reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Kazuma Okamoto. Henry Bolte scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































