Rockies at Braves
Last play · Matt Olson singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Brewer Hicklen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.
Win probability
Braves100%
COL 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 2 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.4% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+217 / -235
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Braves favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Norby singles on a line drive to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Brett Sullivan scores. (inning 8) — -26% Rockies
10Matt Olson singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Brewer Hicklen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.2–3
8Connor Norby singles on a line drive to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Brett Sullivan scores.2–2
6Jake McCarthy homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
3Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Austin Riley scores.0–2
3Sean Murphy homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































