Angels at Red Sox
Last play · Zach Neto challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Zach Neto called out on strikes.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
LAA 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 5 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+149 / -181
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adley Rutschman homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Roman Anthony scores. (inning 2) — +21% Red Sox
8Christian Moore grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Mickey Gasper. Wade Meckler scores. Moisés Ballesteros to 3rd.2–5
6Moisés Ballesteros homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.1–5
3Eli White singles on a ground ball to second baseman Christian Moore. Caleb Durbin scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.0–5
2Adley Rutschman homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Roman Anthony scores.0–4
2Jarren Duran homers (20) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































