Angels at Red Sox
Last play · Eli White strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
LAA 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 4 – 0 BOS
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 49.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Moore grounds into a double play, second baseman Andruw Monasterio to shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Nick Sogard. Vaughn Grissom scores. Moisés Ballesteros out at 2nd. Christian Moore out at 1st. (inning 2) — -15% Angels
9Zach Neto homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field. Travis d'Arnaud scores.6–1
7Nick Sogard singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Trevor Story scores.4–1
5Mike Trout grounds into a double play, second baseman Andruw Monasterio to first baseman Nick Sogard. Travis d'Arnaud scores. Zach Neto out at 2nd. Mike Trout out at 1st.4–0
3Vaughn Grissom singles on a line drive to center fielder Eli White. Mike Trout scores. Jose Siri to 3rd.3–0
3Jose Siri singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Roman Anthony. Denzer Guzman scores. Mike Trout to 2nd.2–0
2Christian Moore grounds into a double play, second baseman Andruw Monasterio to shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Nick Sogard. Vaughn Grissom scores. Moisés Ballesteros out at 2nd. Christian Moore out at 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































