Angels at Red Sox
Last play · Roman Anthony flies out to right fielder Jose Siri.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
LAA 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 6 – 2 BOS
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+183 / -224
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Neto homers (25) on a fly ball to left field. Oswald Peraza scores. Denzer Guzman scores. (inning 3) — -35% Angels
9Nate Eaton singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jose Siri. Jarren Duran scores.6–4
6Wilyer Abreu homers (24) on a fly ball to center field.6–3
5Roman Anthony homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jarren Duran scores.6–2
4Denzer Guzman homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.6–0
3Jose Siri homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Mike Trout scores.5–0
3Zach Neto homers (25) on a fly ball to left field. Oswald Peraza scores. Denzer Guzman scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































