Orioles at White Sox
BAL5–
CWS3Last play · Colson Montgomery grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle.
Win probability
White Sox0%
BAL 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 3 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-149 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dylan Beavers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dustin Harris. Tyler O'Neill scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd. (inning 6) — -31% Orioles
9Taylor Ward doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Gunnar Henderson scores.5–3
6Dylan Beavers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dustin Harris. Tyler O'Neill scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd.4–3
5Colson Montgomery walks. Chase Meidroth scores. Munetaka Murakami to 3rd. Colson Montgomery to 2nd. Missed catch error by pitcher Kyle Bradish. Throwing error by pitcher Kyle Bradish.2–3
3Adley Rutschman grounds out, shortstop Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Taylor Ward scores.2–2
3Taylor Ward doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Gunnar Henderson scores.1–2
2Luisangel Acuña singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Beavers. Dustin Harris scores.0–2
2Dustin Harris singles on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Beavers. Andrew Benintendi scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.