Twins at White Sox
Last play · Luke Keaschall flies out to right fielder Braden Montgomery.
Win probability
White Sox100%
MIN 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 4 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -131
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery homers (30) on a fly ball to right center field. Andrew Benintendi scores. (inning 4) — +13% White Sox
9Josh Bell homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
4Colson Montgomery homers (30) on a fly ball to right center field. Andrew Benintendi scores.0–4
2Braden Montgomery homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
1Miguel Vargas homers (30) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































