Twins at White Sox
Last play · Alex Jackson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox100%
MIN 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 1 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -144
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sam Antonacci doubles (23) on a ground ball to center fielder Walker Jenkins, deflected by second baseman Kody Clemens. Tristan Peters scores. Chase Meidroth scores. (inning 6) — +17% White Sox
8Kyle Teel homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Braden Montgomery scores. Tristan Peters scores.1–10
8Tristan Peters hits a ground-rule double (30) on a line drive to right field. Colson Montgomery scores. Braden Montgomery to 3rd.1–7
8Randal Grichuk homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.1–6
7Miguel Vargas walks. Tristan Peters scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd. Brenton Doyle to 2nd.1–5
7Brooks Lee homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
6Randal Grichuk singles on a ground ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Sam Antonacci scores. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.0–4
6Sam Antonacci doubles (23) on a ground ball to center fielder Walker Jenkins, deflected by second baseman Kody Clemens. Tristan Peters scores. Chase Meidroth scores.0–3
5Munetaka Murakami singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Sam Antonacci scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































