Royals at Guardians
Last play · Brayan Rocchio singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. CJ Kayfus scores. Bo Naylor to 2nd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
KC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 1 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
6
opened 7 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+102 / -122
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carter Jensen homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — -15% Royals
9Brayan Rocchio singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. CJ Kayfus scores. Bo Naylor to 2nd.1–2
5Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Austin Hedges scores.1–1
2Carter Jensen homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































