Royals at Guardians
Last play · CJ Kayfus flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
Win probability
Guardians0%
KC 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 1 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonathan India homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Carter Jensen scores. (inning 8) — -21% Royals
8Brayan Rocchio homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
8Jonathan India homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Carter Jensen scores.4–1
6Carter Jensen homers (2) on a line drive to right field.2–1
4Jonathan India singles on a line drive to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Carter Jensen to 3rd.1–1
3Steven Kwan homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































