Royals at Guardians
Last play · Starling Marte lines out to center fielder Steven Kwan.
Win probability
Guardians100%
KC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 5 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chase DeLauter doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. José Ramírez scores. David Fry scores. (inning 1) — +17% Guardians
8Angel Martínez hits a grand slam (1) to right center field. Austin Hedges scores. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan scores.2–10
8Brayan Rocchio singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Juan Brito scores. Austin Hedges to 2nd.2–6
5Juan Brito doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Rhys Hoskins scores.2–5
5Starling Marte doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Lane Thomas scores. Fielding error by center fielder Steven Kwan.2–4
4Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Angel Martínez. Maikel Garcia scores.1–4
2José Ramírez doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd.0–4
1Rhys Hoskins doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Michael Massey. Chase DeLauter scores.0–3
1Chase DeLauter doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. José Ramírez scores. David Fry scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































