Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Daniel Schneemann singles on a line drive to right fielder Ben Malgeri. Angel Genao scores. Patrick Bailey to 2nd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 2 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+143 / -173
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene doubles (28) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Hao-Yu Lee scores. Colt Keith scores. (inning 1) — -21% Tigers
10Daniel Schneemann singles on a line drive to right fielder Ben Malgeri. Angel Genao scores. Patrick Bailey to 2nd.2–3
5Brayan Rocchio homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
1Travis Bazzana doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Ben Malgeri. Steven Kwan scores.2–1
1Riley Greene doubles (28) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Hao-Yu Lee scores. Colt Keith scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































