Astros at Rockies
Last play · Cam Smith strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies100%
HOU 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 8 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 10.5 ↑
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-168 / +139
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edouard Julien singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Willi Castro scores. Brenton Doyle scores. Kyle Karros to 3rd. (inning 5) — +28% Rockies
8Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Troy Johnston. Cam Smith scores.7–9
8Joey Loperfido grounds out, shortstop Willi Castro to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Christian Walker scores. Cam Smith to 3rd.6–9
7Jose Altuve singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Kyle Karros. Jeremy Peña scores.5–9
6Troy Johnston homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.4–9
6Joey Loperfido out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Jose Altuve scores.4–8
5Kyle Karros singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Willi Castro scores. Brenton Doyle to 3rd. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.3–8
5Willi Castro singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. TJ Rumfield scores.3–7
5TJ Rumfield triples (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Hunter Goodman scores. Troy Johnston scores.3–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































