Astros at Rockies
Last play · Christian Walker grounds out, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman TJ Rumfield.
Win probability
Rockies100%
HOU 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 3 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 12 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willi Castro homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. TJ Rumfield scores. (inning 4) — +22% Rockies
7Mickey Moniak homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Karros scores.1–5
4Willi Castro homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. TJ Rumfield scores.1–3
2Willi Castro singles on a line drive to left fielder Brice Matthews. Troy Johnston scores. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.1–1
2Christian Walker homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































