Astros at Rockies
Last play · Jeremy Peña grounds out, third baseman Kyle Karros to first baseman Troy Johnston.
Win probability
Rockies100%
HOU 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 7 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 12 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edouard Julien singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brice Matthews. Troy Johnston scores. Brenton Doyle scores. Kyle Karros to 2nd. (inning 2) — +20% Rockies
8Troy Johnston singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Joey Loperfido. Hunter Goodman scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.1–9
6TJ Rumfield out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Joey Loperfido. Tyler Freeman scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd.1–8
4Hunter Goodman homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–7
2Ezequiel Tovar doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Joey Loperfido. Hunter Goodman scores. TJ Rumfield to 3rd.1–6
2TJ Rumfield walks.1–5
2Mickey Moniak out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Cam Smith. Kyle Karros scores. Edouard Julien to 3rd.1–4
2Edouard Julien singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brice Matthews. Troy Johnston scores. Brenton Doyle scores. Kyle Karros to 2nd.1–3
2Brice Matthews singles on a line drive to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Isaac Paredes scores. Christian Walker to 2nd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































