Cardinals at Tigers
Last play · Matt Vierling flies out to shortstop Thomas Saggese.
Win probability
Tigers0%
STL 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 4 – 2 DET
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Iván Herrera singles on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Pedro Pagés scores. Victor Scott II scores. (inning 5) — -28% Cardinals
8Nolan Gorman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene. JJ Wetherholt scores.5–3
6Javier Báez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Dillon Dingler scores.4–3
5Iván Herrera singles on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Pedro Pagés scores. Victor Scott II scores.4–2
5Victor Scott II hits a sacrifice bunt. Throwing error by pitcher Enmanuel De Jesus. Nathan Church scores. Pedro Pagés to 3rd. Victor Scott II to 2nd.2–2
5Pedro Pagés singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Nolan Gorman scores. Nathan Church to 3rd.1–2
3Kerry Carpenter homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Colt Keith scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































