Dodgers at Tigers
Last play · Kevin McGonigle flies out to center fielder Enrique Hernández.
Win probability
Tigers0%
LAD 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 1 – 1 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.7% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-146 / +136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Teoscar Hernández homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Freddie Freeman scores. (inning 6) — -29% Dodgers
8Kyle Tucker walks.6–1
8Max Muncy singles on a line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Freddie Freeman scores. Teoscar Hernández to 3rd.5–1
6Teoscar Hernández homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Freddie Freeman scores.3–1
4Kevin McGonigle singles on a ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Gleyber Torres scores.1–1
4Miguel Rojas out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Freddie Freeman scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































