Twins at Tigers
Last play · Ben Malgeri flies out to right fielder Luke Keaschall.
Win probability
Tigers0%
MIN 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 2 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field. Luke Keaschall scores. (inning 6) — -31% Twins
6Kody Clemens homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field. Luke Keaschall scores.3–2
5Kevin McGonigle homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Zach McKinstry scores.1–2
1Josh Bell out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brett Callahan. Brooks Lee scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































