Rockies at Tigers
Last play · Connor Norby strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
COL 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 1 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -182
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene triples (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Gleyber Torres scores. (inning 6) — +20% Tigers
9Zac Veen singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Brant Hurter. Adael Amador scores.2–6
8Riley Greene doubles (30) on a line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Spencer Torkelson scores.1–6
6John Peck walks.1–5
6Dillon Dingler homers (27) on a fly ball to left field. Riley Greene scores.1–4
6Riley Greene triples (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Gleyber Torres scores.1–2
5Max Clark homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
5Cole Carrigg reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Kevin McGonigle. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd. Connor Norby to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































