White Sox at Astros
Last play · Colson Montgomery pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes.
Win probability
Astros100%
CWS 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 0 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -157
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Astros favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nelson Velázquez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Isaac Paredes scores. Jose Altuve scores. Daulton Varsho to 2nd. (inning 8) — +34% Astros
8Nelson Velázquez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Isaac Paredes scores. Jose Altuve scores. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































